Vishal Khandelwal

5 Things to Avoid in the Current Stock Market

When I thought of writing this post, the BSE-Sensex had just touched its all-time high level of nearly 21,300.

But as I was giving the final touches to this post, newspaper headlines read “Sensex posts worst week in three months”.

As I read now, the bulls are predicting that the worst is behind us, while the bears are advising taking money off the table.

Before my mind goes numb seeing and hearing the noise all around, let me share with you 5 things I think you can safely avoid in the current market.

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Poke the Box: Never Give Up, Never Give Up, Never Ever Give Up

Let’s Start with Safal Niveshak
Just in case you missed any of this on Safal Niveshak over the last few days and weeks…

Peter Lynch said, “Owning stocks is like having children, don’t get involved with more than you can handle.” Here’s a post that brings together diverse thoughts on how many stocks you should own.
Some amazing lessons on life and money I learned from a taxi driver, Kantilal.
Here’s an amazing e-book from Balaji Ganesan, a Safal Niveshak tribesman, on behavioural biases and how they impact you in your financial decision making.
Carried an interview of value investor and blogger Ninad Kunder on what has shaped his life as an investor. Some really amazing stuff here!

Life & Money Lessons from Kantilal

“Wadala Station?” I asked as a taxi approached me while I was returning home from a trip to the Siddhivinayak Temple here in Mumbai today.

“Come, sit,” the driver said, as I thanked my stars because a few drivers had turned my request down.

“I was going towards Chembur, and Wadala is midway, so would take you there.”

“Oops, but why does your meter start at 20 rupees? Isn’t this high than normal fare?”

“Sir, this is a cool-cab (Mumbai’s AC taxis), so the rate is higher. But don’t worry, since you don’t need the AC, I will charge a normal taxi’s fare only.”

“Thanks! By the way, Chembur is very close to my home. Why don’t you take me there?”

Understanding Behavioural Biases in Finance and Investing (E-Book)

“How do I read stuff you recommend when I have no time left after work etc.?”

This is one common reason I hear from people who have not yet gotten down to reading the brilliant literature out there on investing and investment behaviour.

If you have had similar excuses/reasons all these years, I present to you Mr. Balaji Ganesan, a Safal Niveshak tribesman from Chennai, who works as an IT professional, and who serves as a great proof that if you have a passion, you can take out time to follow it.

Balaji has been the most prolific contributor to the Safal Niveshak Forum, and shares largely on behavioural finance and his experiences dealing with the same.

He has contributed more than 100 posts on the Forum pm various biases, and I thought it would be great if he could create an eBook on the subject and share with other tribesmen.

I Wish You…

“It is during our darkest moments that we must focus to see the light.” ~ Aristotle

I wish you a very happy Diwali, dear tribesman.

I also wish that not only you enjoy the lights you see around, but you also be the light – either by being a candle of love, compassion, and wisdom…or by being the mirror that reflects it.

Then, even as the stock market gets more euphoric and you hear an army of experts telling you how this tower of cards would rise even higher, I wish you keep a calm mind and join the party not because you are frustrated to have missed it all this while, but only if you find some value here.

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Life, Liberty, Happiness…and Investing

Image Source: Flickr

“Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness” is one of the most famous phrases in the United States Declaration of Independence.

In fact, it is considered by some as part of one of the most well-crafted, influential sentences in the history of the English language.

These three aspects are listed among the inseparable rights of man.

Despite this, as I suppose, it would perplex a visitor from Mars whether we human beings really want what we say we want – life, liberty, and happiness.

This is especially true if the Martian were to drop somewhere on our stock markets, and examines the behavior of investors, speculators, analysts, and fund managers.

He would no doubt question the intelligence of the planet’s inhabitants, and would wonder…

“Do these guys really want life, liberty, and happiness…the rights they have been wanting for ages? They seem to be hell-bent on destroying themselves through their foolish actions! Is this the way the entire humanity works? If yes, I must thank my stars for being a Martian and not a human!”

Buffett, Buddha, and Pizzas

Why does the obese guy (who says he wants to lose weight) eat a large pizza when nobody’s watching?

I have a friend who does this often, and here are the three reasons he gives…

He doesn’t want people to know
It gives him instant pleasure, and
If he doesn’t eat the pizza (thereby delaying gratification) it won’t give him instant weight-loss (something he desires)…

…and thus, instant pleasure (in this case, pizza) is what he chooses, and often.

This is then followed by an hour or two of self-loathing.

“There’s always the next time!” he told me after his latest indulgence.

A Brilliant Investor Who Enjoys the Process More Than The Proceeds

“A pleasant and agreeable man, who is not without a certain charm. Of exemplary responsibility in both his professional and personal lives, he is equally a man who can be counted upon. Such maturity and consideration, along with his mild and protective disposition makes being in his presence a pleasant and reassuring experience.”

Well, that’s what I got on the Internet when I searched for the meaning of the name “Ninad”. This is an unusual name, at least for me, and thus I was curious to know what it means.

I don’t prefer generalizations, especially when one word or one date of birth is used to explain the characteristics and future of all people associated with it (like when fortune tellers predict the future just based on a person’s date of birth).

But I was impressed by the above description, because I had recently met someone with the name “Ninad”, and the above description fit him to the tee.

Ninad who?

Well, if you have not read much of Indian value investing bloggers in the past, one name that has been there for long but has on purpose avoided the limelight, it is that of Ninad Kunder.

While I have been reading Ninad’s blog off and on for quite some time, I met him for the first time recently at a value investing conference.

We did not talk much – I speak less 🙂 – but I knew I had to capture his thoughts and share them with you. And thus I requested him for an interview for Safal Niveshak.

He reluctantly agreed, saying that he has a fairly nondescript and incognito existence. [Read more…] about A Brilliant Investor Who Enjoys the Process More Than The Proceeds

Wit, Wisdom, Warren (Issue #13): Spoiled Princess, Toads, and Acquisitions

“All of humanity’s problems stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone.” ~ Blaise Pascal

You must have heard the fairy tale where a spoiled princess reluctantly befriends a toad, who magically transforms into a handsome prince triggered by the princess kissing it.

Well, those were the older times.

Today’s capitalistic society has been witness to a large number of spoiled princesses trying the same trick on a large number of toads, only to realize that the tale of them turning into princes they had heard of was just that…a fairy tale.

If you are confused why I am writing today about the tale of the toad and princess, let me get straight to the point now.

As the title of today’s post says, I will cover Warren Buffett’s thoughts on corporate acquisitions. In this case, the spoiled princess is the company that is looking to acquire another company, and the toad is that other company that’s waiting to be acquired.

It’s the Base Rate, Stupid!

Retailing is a tough business. During my investment career, I have watched a large number of retailers enjoy terrific growth and superb returns on equity for a period, and then suddenly nosedive, often all the way into bankruptcy. This shooting-star phenomenon is far more common in retailing than it is in manufacturing or service businesses.

In part, this is because a retailer must stay smart, day after day. Your competitor is always copying and then topping whatever you do. Shoppers are meanwhile beckoned in every conceivable way to try a stream of new merchants. In retailing, to coast is to fail.

~ Warren Buffett, in his 1995 letter to shareholders

Buffett called retailing as “have-to-be-smart-every-day business”, and retailers after retailers have proved that over the years, in India and abroad.