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Safal Niveshak

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The Sensex can rise by 50%, or it can fall by 50%

“See I told you that the markets are going to rise,” was what the anchor’s face suggested as he read through his Friday market update on the business channel.

And why not, given that the BSE-Sensex’s 6.1% rise during the week gone by has raised hopes that what we saw during the past few weeks was just a passing phase of correction in stock prices, or so it seems.

“All is well!” the anchor said.

The expert on the other side of the table was confused whether he had just heard a statement or was it a question.

Anyways, he was called on the programme to give his views, so he said, “Well, I would say that things are definitely looking better now. And if people don’t buy shares now, they will regret after 18 months!”
[Read more…] about The Sensex can rise by 50%, or it can fall by 50%

Do You ‘Own’ the Stock You’ve Bought?

Everonn Education’s stock tumbles 20% on arrest of MD

DB Realty shares sink, MD arrested

2G scam: Swan, ADAG, Unitech executives arrested, taken to Tihar

Uflex CMD arrested for Noida Land Scam

Ramalinga Raju arrested, sent to CID custody

NALCO plunges +8% on chairman’s arrest

What do these news headlines mean to you?
[Read more…] about Do You ‘Own’ the Stock You’ve Bought?

How Sachin Tendulkar Would Have Made You a Richer Investor

320 runs. That’s what the Indian cricket legend Sachin Tendulkar has scored in his last 10 innings in England.

For someone who has a test match batting average of 56, with 51 centuries, spread over a record 181 test matches, the recent form must be a cause for worry.

Anyways, does this poor form over the past 45 days make Tendulkar a bad player? A majority of us would say, ‘No’.

But what about the poor run your stock market investments have seen over the past 45 days? The BSE-Sensex has lost 10% during this period.
[Read more…] about How Sachin Tendulkar Would Have Made You a Richer Investor

The Easiest Way to Go Bankrupt

Dictionary defines bankruptcy as the state of being or becoming bankrupt. And you are bankrupt if you are unable to satisfy any just claims made upon you.

Some also define bankruptcy as a legal proceeding in which you put your money in your pants pocket and give your coat to your creditors.

These definitions apply to you once you are already bankrupt.

But the question is – How do you go bankrupt?
[Read more…] about The Easiest Way to Go Bankrupt

This Big Investing Mistake Can Cost You Heavy

Do you remember the 2009 swine flu pandemic that caused worldwide panic? An estimated 14,300 people died of this virus.

If you think that’s a big number, you would be surprised to note that more people die every year due to seasonal flu.

But even then, swine flu caused much greater panic than the regular flu. What could be the reason for that?

Or consider the following example. In the months after the September 11 terrorist attacks in the US in 2001, travellers made the decision that travelling by car was a far safer way than by air.
[Read more…] about This Big Investing Mistake Can Cost You Heavy

It’s 2008 All Over Again

I hate to sound pessimistic, but it looks as though the global banking system led by European banks is edging its way towards another big collapse.

That means in just a few short months, stocks could be back at their 2009 lows.

And if the last few weeks are any indication, the impact will also be felt in India…as it did after Lehman Brothers collapsed in September 2008.

But don’t expect things to capitulate so fast. At least not given that central bankers in the US and Europe will attempt one more Herculean effort to ‘save’ things.
[Read more…] about It’s 2008 All Over Again

Want to Become a Better Investor? First Get Your Brain Damaged

“I hate it! It’s like the end of world for me!” said my friend Ravi hanging his head in desperation.

“What happened?” I asked. “You lost someone in your family? Oh, I’m so sorry!”

“Oh no, not that!” he said.

“Then what? Your dog died?”

“No, no!”

“Someone stole your Blackberry?”

“Vishal, will you let me speak?”

“Yeah, c’mon tell me what happened?” I smiled at him and asked.
[Read more…] about Want to Become a Better Investor? First Get Your Brain Damaged

Steve Jobs Resigns from Apple: Lessons for Indian Investors

iPods, iPads, and iPhones would have baffled the German social scientist Max Weber, who died in 1920.

The father of modern sociology, however, would surely have understood something about the man behind those futuristic gadgets.

Weber defined the ‘charismatic leader’ as one whose influence stems from almost preternatural insights and imagination, and who inspires devotional loyalty from his followers.

This definition adds up to an uncanny description of Steve Jobs of Apple.

Weber also argued that organizations structured around a charismatic leader are doomed to lose their vigor after the great one leaves the scene.
[Read more…] about Steve Jobs Resigns from Apple: Lessons for Indian Investors

The Stock Market Nonsense Called ‘Consensus’

The spread of business channels and other financial media has had grave consequences for investors over the past few years.

One of them is the need to justify each and every move of the market.

The other is the tendency to buy or sell stocks first and think about the rationale of buying/selling later.

The third, and the worst, consequence for investors of watching business channels and reading financial media has been the nonsensical focus on the movement of the Sensex or the Nifty.
[Read more…] about The Stock Market Nonsense Called ‘Consensus’

Tuesday Morning Reads

A few interesting items for your reading pleasure:

  • Anther funny CNBC interview! Don’t buy now, bottom just around the corner (Moneycontrol)
  • Hmm. Arresting India’s Downturn (The Wall Street Journal)
  • Life after downgrade? Standard & Poor’s President to Step Down (The New York Times)
  • Law breakers hiring lawyers! Goldman’s Shares Tumble as Firm Hires Top Lawyer (The New York Times)
  • Great read. James Montier Suggested Reading List (The Big Picture)
  • Hmm. Faber: Some Stocks Still Worth Buying (Moneynews)

What are you reading?

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